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Trend analysis will assist an organization in evaluating the functioning of their commercial activities and also the consequences of their present operations in the following two ways:
Here are the ways in which trend analysis can provide protection to the customers:
Forecasting is known to be a mechanism that makes use of the previously recorded set of information in the form of a report to create an updated anticipation. The estimations should be such that it assists in the process of finding out a path for the upcoming flow of activities. An organization applies the process of forecasting for the purpose of finding out the right way to distribute the budget of their concerned business as well as even create a strategy in terms of the expenditures which they had estimated for the future course of time (Hyndman et al., 2018).
Here are the four methods of statistical analysis:
The rate of conversion is amount of sales that has taken place in the context of a particular business which is then further divided by the total number of individuals who visited the place of business. For instance, if an online shopping portal is accessed by 200 people in a particular month and incurred sales of 50 products, then the rate of conversion would be 50/200 which is equal to 25% (Franke et al., 2015).
The measures of the central tendency are given as follows:
The Delphi technique is known to be a model for making predictions depending on the outcomes of several levels of questions lists that is sent to the member of boards or even to the specialists associated with it. In this methods, certain lists of questions are given to the specialist’s ample number of times and the outcomes of each of the level is accumulated and is shown to the team at the end of each of the round. However, the outcome is anonymous, has no one knows, who has shared what response (Mukherjee et al., 2015).
A chi-square testing is a technique that is used to examine the probability of an observed set of values is due to turn. Moreover, it is even considered as benefit of appropriate statistics, as it evaluates the effectiveness of the shared set of numbers in terms of it fitting the required data sharing framework in case if the concerned set of unstable data is not dependent (Sharpe, 2015).
The Act is the legislative vehicle for competition law in Australia, and seeks to promote competition, fair trading as a means to safeguard the rights of the customers. The CCA (Competition and Consumer Act 2010), deals with the connection between the distributors, wholesalers, storekeepers as well as the consumers (Duke, 2020).
CCA is involved in the following activities:
The main purpose of this report is to analyze the marketing trend of Aldi, which is a rebated chain of supermarket that has functioning since the year 2001 in the country of Australia, however, it was discovered in the year 1946. The concerned chain of supermarket has 10,000 retail outlets that is functioning in approximately 20 nations (Paull et al., 2018). In the report, both intrinsic as well as extrinsic level of information would be determined to find out about its marketing trends along with other developing trends of the concerned organization.
As per the Value Chain model by Michael Porter it has been determined that the concerned organization Aldi is concentrates towards generating significance for their commodities by means of minimizing the price of their commodities as well as services and also by means of enhancing the standard of their commodities in terms of both its fundamental along with peripheral functions (Levi et al., 2018).
Data of Grocery Sales and Price Level Indices for Aldi from 2010 to 2020
YEAR |
Sales in million US dollars |
Price Level Indices |
2010 |
2059.8 |
136 |
2011 |
2781.51 |
149 |
2012 |
4017.08 |
158 |
2013 |
5373.41 |
143 |
2014 |
7307.41 |
135 |
2015 |
8076.71 |
126 |
2016 |
9222.13 |
125 |
2017 |
10249.41 |
130 |
2018 |
11241.92 |
124 |
2019 |
11973.74 |
118 |
2020 |
12636.82 |
N. A. |
The above shows the trend of sales volume from the year 2010 to year 2020. It is increasing in increasing rate as shown by the upward sloping line graph.
Quantitative Analysis:
Mean |
7721.813 |
Standard Deviation |
3731.886 |
Max |
12636.82 |
Min |
2059.8 |
The mean value tells us that the average sales value of Aldi is 7721.813 million. The standard deviation tells us the spread of sales value which is 3731.886 million. The Max value tells us that in year 2020, Aldi observed highest sales volume in the last 10 years. The Min value tells us that the minimum sales volume was observed in the year 2010.
The grocery sales of Aldi for the year 2010 to 2020 are given. The price level is also given. We will try to find the correlation between sales volume and price level. From the below diagram, we can see that there is a negative relationship between sales volume and price level of Australia. The calculation of correlation between sales volume and price level turns out to be -0.81401. This tells that there is strong negative association between sales volume and price level. This is in line with the law of demand, which states that as prices fall, the demand of the product increases.
Qualitative Analysis
The sales of Aldi have risen in 2018 by 10 percent. The partial contribution of this increase or growth in sales was due to opening of 24 new stores in 2018. It was also seen that in 2019, house prices have declined. The pressure created by cost of living has forced the customers to purchase goods from the stores.
The CEO of Aldi, Tom Daunt said that the company was moving towards the saturation point in Australia. But still there are still gaps which need to be look after. The company entered the market of Australia in 2001. In few months only, it started contributing $23 billion to the gross domestic product. Also, it helped the customers fi save on a n average $2.2 billion as compared with shopping at Woolworths and Coles who are its competitors (Pulker et al., 2018).
The company has an advantage that it is privately owned as it enables the company to take a long term view. It is proven that Australia is an appealing and profitable market. The market of Australia is strong, open and transparent trade takes place. The retail food sector report 2019 shows that supermarket and grocery expenditures continue to come in the top for bulk of food retailing purchases. It has a share of 68 per cent (Pulker et al., 2018).
The consumers of Australia consider the following key factors for purchasing commodities:
Competitors
The top four Australian competitors in food retail are (Pulker et al., 2018):
To analyse the market trends, the market share of all the top four competitors in the supermarket industry in 2018 is taken. This is best shown in the chart below.
Market Trends
Opportunities
Threats
Key Takeaways
Sales Forecasting
Sales forecasting is done by almost all the companies to reduce any uncertainty. It gives idea about the revenues and provides a clear picture of the future scenario. There are many techniques to forecast sales volume. Economy changes, industry changes and policy changes influence the forecasting. Trend line forecasting analysis is used here. This forecasting analysis gives authentic and verifiable method of forecasting for businesses. Based on the previous year sales, it shows the future growth in sales volume.
It can be seen from the graph that there is growth in the sales as the line is moving upward. Thus, it can be forecasted that the sale volume of Aldi is increasing in the future.
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